Federal Reserve
The S&P 500’s highs in 2025 reflect optimism, but also pose a challenge: markets are increasingly driven by Federal Reserve policy, rather than fundamentals. This reliance adds risk, but also opportunity for investors who adapt to a changing macro-policy landscape.
On December 18, 2024, the Federal Reserve announced a 0.25 percentage point reduction in the federal funds rate, setting the new target range at 4.25% to 4.5%
The FOMC reduced the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to 4.5%–4.75%, citing solid GDP growth, easing inflation, and resilient labor markets. Despite progress, core inflation at 2.7% remains elevated, and risks in commercial real estate and household debt warrant monitoring.
Effective communication, transparency, and a data-driven approach are integral to the central bank’s efforts to promote sustainable economic growth, job creation, and price stability.
Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Minutes Summary: November 6–7, 2024
Policy Over Profits: The Fed and the S&P 500
Federal Reserve: How Monetary Policy Influences Stock Market
Federal Reserve’s Dual Mandate
Yield Curve Inversion: A Signal of Impending Recession?
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